Wednesday, October 31, 2007

What is an investment plan?

Basically, an investment plan is your plan to achieve a certain financial goal. That is quite obvious, but people tend to forget about goal setting. They say “Who needs planning? I just want to be rich.” This is a straight road to financial hell. If you don’t know what do you want, then you won’t have any guidelines for your actions, and you’ll probably be under emotional stress. Fear and greed are very powerful emotions and they can drive you to the undesired outcomes.

In order to help you, the first thing you will need to know is how much money you can invest. This could be an amount for a week, month, year or some other period of time. If you are in debt, your first step is paying it out. You should, also, consider future investments amount. For example, if you are going to be married and you are the only one that works, it is likely that your investment capability will be lower in the future.

The next step is to resolve how much do you need and when. Using these parameters, you can calculate the return rate of your investments. For example, let’s say that you are going to invest 600$ per year (that’s 50$ per month) and that you want to withdraw 20,000$ after 20 years. This means that your average return rate should be about 4.6% per year, which is not very high rate. In the previous 20 years average return rate of Dow Jones was 10% per year.

Return rate

Net sum after 20 years with yearly addition of 600$

Net sum after 20 years with yearly addition of 900$

Net sum after 20 years with yearly addition of 1200$

Net sum after 20 years with yearly addition of 1800$

3%

16606

24909

33212

49818

4%

18581

27872

37163

55745

5%

20832

31247

41663

62495

6%

23396

35093

46791

70187

7%

26319

39479

52638

78957

8%

29654

44481

59308

88961

9%

33459

50188

66917

100376

10%

37801

56702

75603

113404

11%

42759

64139

85518

128277

12%

48419

72629

96838

145258

You can calculate the resulting amount of money for any yearly addition. Let’s say that you could invest 3000$ per year and that after 20 years and that you would like to have 200,000$. That means that you should have return rate between 10% and 11%. 5 times 600 is equal to the 3000$, 5 times 37801 is equal to the 189005$ and 5 times 42759$ is equal to the 113795$.

This way you can determine required return rate and the types of investment. Also, it can happen that your desire doesn’t match reality. For example, if you wish to invest 600$ per year and you want 100,000$ after 20 years that would mean that you need return rate of around 18% and that is very unlikely to achieve. Therefore, you should lower your expectations or you should increase your yearly addition.

With these parameters, you can find asset allocation that should give you required result with the lowest possible risk. There is a theory that helps you to do this. We will elaborate this in details some other time. Let’s just say that with this you can select assets that should be in your portfolio.

To sum it up, investment plan takes into account your desire and as a result it finds out what kind of assets you should have.

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2 Comments:

Blogger Spinner said...

This is such useful information! Thank you for posting! Could you tell me what formula you are using to calculate the values in the table? I can't seem to get the same numbers.

June 20, 2008 at 6:02 AM  
Blogger Zoran Maksimovic said...

It is best calculated using some spreadsheet program.

Lets look at this example:

You invest 600$ per year and expect 6% return.

After one year you will have initial 600$ plus 36$ (6% of 600).

Then you invest another 600$ and et the end of the second year you will have 1236 plus 74.16 (6% 1236).

Then you invest another 600$ and et the end of the third year you will have 1910.16$ plus 114.61$ (6% of 1910.16)$

Repeat the procedure in order to get the result for 20 years. You will get about 23396$.

September 13, 2008 at 4:33 AM  

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